I'm left to close this baby out? So much pressure. Will I disappoint our reader? Oh, by the way, thanks for that mom. Haha, just kidding, not even our mom reads this.
Anyway, yes, I think we have more horses we feel comfortable tossing than usual. I'd tier them as follows right now using what I think and what I think you think:
Tier 1 - The Most Likely Winners:
Irish War Cry - A horse we can't not respect, even though we kind of want to not respect him
Always Dreaming - We just bet horses like this. We don't pass on horses with this much potential. He seems like the one horse in here that could win by five.
Tier 2 - Horses We Really Like:
McCracken - For you
Tapwrit - For me
Irap - For.....I don't know....
Tier 3 - Horses We Kind of Like, But Shouldn't (or are Just Scared of)
State of Honor - He's lost to horses we like.
Classic Empire - We can't just not use him at all
Practical Joke - I mean at least I'm not forcing Lookin at Lee here
Tier 4 - Bottom of Exotics, But, We Won't Hit If They Win
Lookin At Lee - He'll be rolling late
Thunder Snow - We can't COMPLETELY toss the Dubai horse.
Hence - Seems the most likely to move up by Saturday for us
Untrapped - I don't know, blinkers back off and Santana back up
Gunnevera - Have to leave him in a little probably
Gormley - He's ok...
Tier 5 - The Rest
Fast and Accurate
Girvin
Battle of Midway
Sonneteer
J Boys Echo
Patch
Basically, if one of our top two wins, we will hopefully have something. If Tapwrit or Irap wins I think we need to have something as well, they'll be prices. If any of the Tier 5 runners get second, we won't cash in the race. Basically we will key around our top 2, but will have some minor plays keyed around those tier 2 horses. A Tapwrit - Practical Joke - Gormley tri would be amazing to stumble into.
It's a pretty wide open year. The good news is we can't be much worse than last year! Happy Derby everyone!
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