To quickly return to Danzing Candy, I only used War Emblem and California Chrome to blow up the idea that horses with sprint pedigrees can't win the Derby. That was the main similarity I was trying to get across. But you made my point for me regarding DC... if there was ever a year for a speed horse with distance questions to to lull them to sleep and steal a spot in the trifecta, it's this year. (I hesitate to call him "cheap" speed as it wouldn't shock me if he proves to be one of the better horses in this crop, but just at shorter distances.) To me, the only difference between Danzing Candy & Nyquist is we know DC has distance limitations. Nyquist does too, but people don't want to admit it quite yet.
So, I guess you asked a fair question: Who do I like? Well, I'll list em off...
Destin - I haven't talked about him in a while b/c I haven't seen a reason to. He's still either my #1 or #2 choice until we get post positions.
Exaggerator - I'm actually surprised you like Exaggerator as much as I do. He seems like an obvious horse to use in almost all bets.
Danzing Candy - Like I said, I can't toss lone speed when I'm getting 20/1.
Mor Spirit - I'm going to slap a big BEGRUDGINGLY on here. He feels like he could be this year's safe-ish horse that just never picks up his feet and runs 15th, but that horse is never "obvious" until after the fact. I think you just have to use him.
Suddenbreakingnews - He seems like the best of all these stupid closers from east of California. I watched his three preps in Arkansas a day or two ago. The Southwest was great, the Rebel was a pretty good effort, and he had some trouble in the Arkansas Derby where he didn't get to start his run soon enough. I think he's going to end up being one of the faster horses on The Sheets when we get a look at those.
Outwork - I'm just tossing him on here b/c we always talk ourselves into one horse on the day of, and Outwork is gonna be that horse. He's got speed, he's only lost to one horse in his career at two turns - Destin - and he just won the Wood Memorial in a race whe all the other horses near the lead collapsed. I'll just get out ahead of this one now.
Ok, let's close the book on the pre-race talk. Oaks card should be up soon.
No comments:
Post a Comment