Tuesday, April 28, 2015

Derby (Oaks) Discussion - David Part 5 Let's Talk About Chicks Man....

I'm going to back off the Derby discussion for this one. We have a lot we're in agreement on there anyway, so I think we're mostly just going to be fine tuning our thoughts from here out. Basically, the most important thing is we're in agreement at the top, and those are the most important horses from a betting standpoint by far. If any of them win we'll hit something probably. I'm just glad there isn't some crappy sprinter that won a mile race at Gulfstream with a 104 and then ran three 92s in a row for you to get obsessed with like there usually is.

Let's talk about fillies for a bit, the Oaks card just came out...and it looks pretty solid.

First off the race 2 - 5 pick 4 is insane. Three races with 12 runners and one race with 10. We need to figure out how much budget we want to use here considering no one in our betting syndicate will give a damn about these races...but, this thing could produce a huge payout.

Quick impression in the La Troienne, how about Frivolous at a huge price?? Seriously, go back and watch her last race at Keeneland, ssssoooooo much trouble. This isn't really a great field she's facing here either.

Is the Alysheba as simple as a match race between Protonico and Honor Code? If you beat them it's huge for the pick 4 or pick 5.

The most lazily named stake ever, The Turf Sprint, is a crapshoot.

The Oaks is interesting. It's funny how this field seems pretty average when the Derby field seems to be so good this year. Some quick thoughts on the Oaks:


  • Does anything put pressure on Condo Commando early? She's had easy leads in five wins and ran off the board when something pressed her. Baffert or Pletcher will send something with her as a rabbit, right?
  • I'm a Chatterbox has been awesome in Louisiana and I love her versatility...
  • Stellar Wind got a dream trip last out.
  • The Fantasy was a sham of a race right? Just absolutely collapsed and all these closers got inflated numbers out of it.
  • We have to leave in Eskenformoney and Angela Renee, right? They're pretty Princess of Sylmar-ish.
Good card. Anything jump out at you?





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